previsões, cem anos depois
um tema recorrente do presente, principalmente quando ele está mudando muito como agora [ou como sempre] é o futuro. que tal ver como as previsões falham? veja esta lista de 29 previsões para 2000, feitas em… 1900! algumas, apesar de errarem a tecnologia, acertam o resultado. por exemplo…
Prediction #9: Photographs will be telegraphed from any distance. If there be a battle in China a hundred years hence snapshots of its most striking events will be published in the newspapers an hour later. Even to-day photographs are being telegraphed over short distances. Photographs will reproduce all of Nature’s colors.
claro, deu internet ao invés de jornais e web ao invés de jornais. fora isso, a previsão é quase exata. e esta, sobre telefones [móveis]?…
Prediction #18: Telephones Around the World. Wireless telephone and telegraph circuits will span the world. A husband in the middle of the Atlantic will be able to converse with his wife sitting in her boudoir in Chicago. We will be able to telephone to China quite as readily as we now talk from New York to Brooklyn. By an automatic signal they will connect with any circuit in their locality without the intervention of a “hello girl”.
quase lá no fim, há uma cujo começo, infelizmente, tá se tornando verdade…
Prediction #28: There will be no wild animals except in menageries. Rats and mice will have been exterminated. The horse will have become practically extinct. A few of high breed will be kept by the rich for racing, hunting and exercise. The automobile will have driven out the horse. Cattle and sheep will have no horns. They will be unable to run faster than the fattened hog of today. A century ago the wild hog could outrun a horse. Food animals will be bred to expend practically all of their life energy in producing meat, milk, wool and other by-products. Horns, bones, muscles and lungs will have been neglected.
faça seu teste: deixe de herança, para sua família, suas previsões para 2107. se forem tão precisas como as duas primeiras, vão achar que você era um nostradamus do seu tempo.